Captain America: Brave New World's box office performance is raising concerns. While the film has already grossed approximately $289.4 million globally, a significant 68% drop in domestic revenue during its second weekend casts doubt on its ability to reach profitability.
According to Deadline, the film's $180 million production budget necessitates a global box office gross of around $425 million to break even. The initial $100 million domestic opening weekend, while exceeding expectations, was followed by a considerably weaker second weekend performance of $28.2 million. This steep decline mirrors the performance of 2023's Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania, which ultimately failed to recoup its costs.
While the film currently boasts $141.2 million in domestic and $148.2 million in international revenue after two weekends, a global second-weekend haul of $63.5 million suggests a less enthusiastic audience response than anticipated for a Marvel film. Comscore analyst Paul Dergarabedian notes this significant drop as reflective of a "new normal" for Marvel movies, indicating a shift in audience engagement. Deadline projects a final global gross of approximately $450 million.
The film's launch coincided with largely unfavorable reviews, including a 5/10 score from IGN, which criticized the film's lack of originality and underwhelming plot despite strong performances from the cast.
Marvel Studios and Disney are hoping for a substantial box office rebound for Captain America: Brave New World to counteract the recent trend of underperforming MCU films (excluding the successful Deadpool & Wolverine). The success of this film is crucial for building momentum leading into the releases of Thunderbolts in May and The Fantastic Four: First Steps in July.